Review of My Guesses for 2017

 

This is it!

My Last official act of 2017. This is the one where I look back at this article

https://theredpillnation.wordpress.com/2017/01/09/my-guesses-for-2017/

And we look at how well or how badly I did. I’ll admit I did review this article a couple of weeks back and it didn’t look like I’d done all that badly. Unlike last year when Donald Trump threw a wrench into the guessing this year no such thing occurred. But I know for a fact I got some of the guesses wrong and I think I bombed out on a couple of them. Like I said I’m doing this again and writing down the results as they appear. So while I think I did well I could’ve stunk up the joint.

Let’s the massacre of my supposed high intelligence begin!

  1. People hold their breath for President Donald Trump

Yeah, there’s one that didn’t happen! Antifa Riots, Million woman march and open declaration of war by Feminists and Regressives. trump-4-805x452

Yep, the regressives didn’t even wait for Donald Trump to make a mistake they just went ahead and started attacking blindly. In fact, it was speculated that if this was what it was going to be like for the next four years well…god help us all.

People did calm down, Antifa lost its teeth but the attacks on Trump continue.

But for this guess BOY did I ever get this one wrong!

The Establishment may attempt to distract us from the ever-widening internal culture war with an outside distraction.

There was some talk about North Korea, there were the usual (ever increasing) terrorist attacks in Europe and a bombing in Syria. The Administration didn’t attempt to ramp up any wars and neither did the Regressives attempt to throw any crumbles and bobbles our way for us to look at. They went and stayed on the offensive to the best of their ability. At least until their credibility also started to take serious hits.

In hindsight the mainstream media and the establishment wanted us to pay attention to them this year. They got what they wanted and now they’re in free fall just like the rest of the regressives are.

But for the sake of this blog, wrong again. Mostly because 1 and 2 are tied together to make it so.

 3. Transparent attempts to crack down or censor the internet mainly alternative news sites.

YES! Got one right and boy did I ever hammer this one out the ballpark.

What stands out for me most though is the intentional lying about Pewdiepie

Got this one right (Finally)

 4. Gamergate (or a form of it) is not dead back for round #2

Comicgate…Nuff said

Or you can just go to The Quartering to see what’s happening with Wizards of the Coast at the moment.

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCfwE_ODI1YTbdjkzuSi1Nag

Either way, I nailed this one!

  5. A Watering down of the Manosphere in general

This one is kind of hard to prove. MGTOW.com became the second largest site in the manosphere and A Voice for Men returned to its old prominence. More MGTOW, MRA, Red Pill, PUA etc sites got started up. An increase in size and attention will mean a larger variety of opinion thus a watering down. Nothing unexpected here so I’ll give myself a yes here.

6. A rise in the extreme right inside the movement

I saw more Anti-Semitism this year than I had in the five years before. I had one of these guys start to follow me around the manosphere to keep justifying his beliefs to me. I personally had to declare that any jew bashing (Anti-Semitism) on my Facebook group would get you booted. You know it’s getting out of control when guys like Turd Flinging Monkey have to start making videos specifically addressing this issue.

The comments section got so bad here that YouTube had to shut down both comments and ratings. Like I said in my guesses for 2018 blog, this is the ugly stepchild of the manosphere and it needs to be dealt with SOON!

Got this one right though.

7. More prominent divisions rising inside the Manosphere

The rise of the Alt-Right is proof enough for that. We also had people on our side attacking each other. There was a row between Candace Owens and Computing Forever

There was also another one that appears to have removed Kraut and Tea from the YouTube community for now too.

Just to make it clear on both of these people. Candace Owens took down Social Autopsy for me that’s sufficient. Dave Cullen had a higher standard and it’s his channel so he has the right to say that there. Kraut and Tea on the other hand? I wasn’t involved never really followed it. I liked most of what Kraut and Tea did and I hope he comes back. Don’t know enough about what happened to make a call on it.

I can say I got this one right 5 for 7 now, not bad considering how badly I tanked at the start!

   8. Attacks on MGTOW happen with more frequency and ferocity

Well first we had this

Both of these stupid idiots started their channels in 2017. But for more example, we had this and a few others post up as well

This particular video got torn to shreds in the comments not to mention Turd Flinging Monkey did an epic takedown of this video.

Now this guy was really disappointing because he usually has an idea what he’s talking about

The real disappointment here was how he pinned this to the top of this video.

Styxnhammer

Yeah I pretty much say I got this one right

9. I’m not a Feminist or I’m not and/or antifeminist pronouncements rise quickly

This actually tapered off in 2017. Never mind that it’s picked up in a large way at the start of 2018. In 2017 this didn’t happen, likely because Feminists were more active and got more than a little help from the mainstream media

Got this one wrong

  10. Yet ANOTHER months-long period of feminist and/or SJW stupidity

There were moments where it looked like there was going to be something like this. The Mainstream Media though did engage in epic levels of stupidity and did have periods where they did the same thing that other branches of the regressive community did.

Does the mainstream media count as SJW? I’m going to give myself a tentative yes on this. Again though as the start of 2018 has indicated the regressives seem hell bound to lose all the ground they gained in 2017.

1/2 point on this one

11. Very clear signs that Feminism is losing 

Had the year ended before Harvey Weinstein got taken down it was really starting to look like this was going to happen.

09xp-weinstein-master768-v3

Once this happened Feminists moved in a took Hollywood without much of fight, even going so far as to set up a potential McCarthy like commission to investigate sexual abuse in Hollywood

Now once again it appears as though Feminists have managed to shoot themselves in the foot as 2018 started. This MAY prevent the sexual misconduct commission from becoming too authoritarian too quickly. Or they may attempt to speed this up because of events that started, time will tell.

Now since this is about 2017 and not 2018 I’m going to have to go wrong about this one.

 12. Things start getting violent

I’m just going to post up a few things about Antifa and let them speak for themselves

Battle of Berkeley

 

Yeah I know, sorry just had to post this.

Granted Antifa had lost most of their Mojo by mid-year. The violence didn’t extend through the entire year of 2017. Something for which I think we can all be grateful for. 2018 feels like a different beast, more like a kettle bomb going off from pressure at some point.

So yes I did get this one right, glad it slowed down towards mid-year though.

 13. Outrageous and Blatant Lies

From the mainstream media? Oh hell yes absolutely!

I mean there are so many examples of it that I couldn’t possibly post all the content so here’s a link to it instead

https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Mainstream+Media+Lies+2017

14. Members of the various SJW factions start getting in trouble

Didn’t happen there were moments where it happened but you didn’t see the long hemorrhaging that had occurred inside regressive circles brought on by their own stupidity in 2017. UNLESS you cover mainstream news that’s another story altogether. For the sake of argument, I’m just going to put the mainstream media in the regressive camp here. They took the shots that the other factions couldn’t and probably wouldn’t have been able to take in 2017. As a result, they now are starting to find themselves in the same boat as them. If 2018 is any indication of 2017 for them it’s going to be a LONG year.

And oh yes got this one right

15. Bill Cosby Trial! 

Harvey Weinstein ended up being the goat that Bill Cosby was supposed to be. The Cosby trial was a virtual non-event. Luckily (If you’re a feminist) Harvey fell into the void quite nicely. He provided the impetus and push that Feminism had at the end of 2017 to pretty much take Hollywood and to destroy more than a few careers in the process. The price paid for doing this was totally unexpected though. It wasn’t anyone on the Deplorable side of the fence that got taken down. Instead, Feminists fed on their own that strategy of cannibalizing their own allies though appears to caught up to them already.

So yeah it sort of happened just not with the person I thought it was going to trigger it with. So I sort of got this one right in the actions but not the person.

  16. Virtue Signal Failure

Not as much as in 2016! But then again it would be very hard to ever duplicate 2016. Although based on what I’ve seen so far in 2018 it might be quite easily exceeded.

This one was going to be a pretty safe yes.

  17. Call on Donald Trump to be impeached or resign by the end of summer

Full History here

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Efforts_to_impeach_Donald_Trump

Impeach Trump

Yep got this one right. In fact, there was another attempt made just a few days ago.

  18. A Hard Right or Nationalist party wins a country (Or two) in Europe this year. 

Czech Election Won by Anti-Establishment Party Led by Billionaire

Well now, Thank You, Andrej Babis for getting the win for me!

So how did I do? 13 1/2 out of 18 75% well now not bad for a bunch of guesses. I want to discuss more though on how I went wrong and how no matter how accurate any kind of model is, even one where I’m just picking what I think and feel are the most likely reactions based on previous experience. Events can sometimes take strange twists. Or like what happened when Donald Trump put a wrench into a lot of my guesses in 2016 the actions of one individual can and do count.

What did I get wrong and why did I get them wrong in my not so humble opinion

Number 1 I got wrong because I assumed incorrectly that there would be the usual honeymoon period for Donald Trump nothing of the sort happened. In fact with a little hindsight it appears as though a lot of what occurred might have been artificially inflated

Number 2 I got wrong because I assumed once all the insanity got started it would escalate quickly. It didn’t in fact it came in two sections one at the start of the year from Antifa and the back end being provided by Feminism. North Korea had some moments for Donald Trump and the Administration but they didn’t use this to distract from the homeland

North Korea

Number 9 I got wrong there were a couple of factors. One being the move by social media sites to crack down on political wrong think. Another one was the apparent resurgence of feminism at the end of 2017. There’s also a case of a upswing will eventually top off. That doesn’t mean that they won’t start jumping on the wagon again in fact I’ve seen evidence of this starting in 2018

Number 10 I got wrong because while it did happen I didn’t expect that it would be the mainstream media and not the groups I expected.

Number 11 Never in my imagination did I ever expect that Feminists would devour their own allies for such a fleeting and temporary victory. Like I said before they captured Hollywood but have likely sped up their own demise

So I did OK, good thing nobody followed my guesses though I mean 75% is pretty good and worth a victory lap or two. I think it shows that my guesses can and should be taken with a grain of salt.

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My Guesses for 2017

I’ll have to admit that it was a little hard to come up with reasonable or likely guesses for 2017. Unlike the last two years where you could only look at Feminists or other regressives and just sit back a predict batshit crazy or epic stupidity in larger and more grandiose amounts. This year there’s a period right after Donald Trump gets sworn in where we’ll all be feeling this guy out before I can say much of anything for certain.

But then again that’s probably where I should start

  1. People hold their breath for President Donald Trump 

3

The first 100 days are usually a honeymoon period for almost any new politician. In this case, I’m guessing that almost everyone will be waiting to see how Donald Trump conducts himself, before deciding on a course of action. Once this period is over, though, we’ll likely have a pretty good idea how long it’ll take for the culture war to heat up again

But that gets me to my next point here.We’ve all been seeing the news about alleged ‘Russian Hackers’ and more specifically about how Barrack Obama has been doing as much as he can to needle the Russians before Donald Trump assumes office.

That though leads to a somewhat logical (I hope) guess for #2

    2 The Establishment may attempt to distract us from the ever widening internal culture war with an outside distraction.

There are two different ways that governments will try to deal with mounting internal pressure. They either repress, which is a terrible thing to do in an open marketplace of ideas like the internet. The other way is to start distracting the people with an outside. Now I’m not sure why the establishment would choose to antagonize a nuclear power like Russia. Whom if you remember had and still have enough nukes to turn the entire planet into a giant dayglo parking lot. The term that comes up for me is ‘playing with fire’ in this case nuclear fire! That doesn’t mean we won’t see #3 happening as well

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/dec/29/barack-obama-sanctions-russia-election-hack

http://www.dailywire.com/news/12143/world-war-iii-obama-just-put-troops-along-michael-qazvini

       3. Transparent attempts to crack down or censor the internet mainly alternative news sites.

israel-internet-censorship-786x350

We saw this almost immediately after the election when a list emerged of ‘fake news’ sites that curiously enough included all the sites that were either against Hillary Clinton or covered the Wikileaks issue extensively. Angela Merkel has even gone so far as to threaten any social media site that published ‘fake news’ with massive fines. It’s not a stretch to see this happen elsewhere in the west too. Certainly wouldn’t put it past Justin Trudeau here in Canada that’s for sure. I do have to point out that Trump’s election was the SECOND time that the establishment didn’t get their way because of the alternate media. Hands up how many of us remember Syria just a few months ago?

This is the list of fake news sites

http://www.dailydot.com/layer8/fake-news-sites-list-facebook/

And this is the original list, note here somehow the National Enquirer isn’t on this list.

https://docs.google.com/document/d/10eA5-mCZLSS4MQY5QGb5ewC3VAL6pLkT53V_81ZyitM/preview

Incidentally, I remember Nancy Pelosi bringing a Bill in back then that was supposed to put a cap on this back then.

And that leads me to guess #4

        4. Gamergate (or a form of it) is not dead back for round #2

Just when you thought the whole sexism and harassment on the internet was done, it’s back! Starring everyone’s least favorite SJW of all time Anita Sarkeesian! Of course unlike 2014-15 this time the ‘bullying’ thing will just be a shell for particular establishment forces to put (or try to) restrictions on social media sites. This time it won’t be gamers getting targetted but everyone. It will start slowly and gain momentum as the year goes by. You may even see some serious money behind this push and the fight isn’t going to be at Comic-Con either. This time it’ll be in Washington DC.

       5. A Watering down of the Manosphere in general

manosphere

While I try to avoid labeling someone. There is still a period after a person ‘wakes up’ where they’re still processing and sorting through all the information they’ve been given. In my case the transition from Blue Pill to Purple Pill to full on Red Pill took decades. In fact had the morons at Atheism+ not been so fanatical in their zeal to turn the Atheist Community into a regressive haven I might still be a purple pill. What I’ve seen is a lot of ‘purple pill’ or not fully awakened people coming into the movement as a whole. Political Correctness and Tone Policing will be much more widespread in 2017. This ties into number six and not in a good way.

       6. A rise in the extreme right inside the movement

There have always been people inside the MRM, MGTOW and Red Pill that were always white nationalists. In fact, regressives have used this fact to project that everyone was like this. The truth of the matter is that much like Feminists that call for the killing of 90% of the males on earth are a small minority. This bunch is also a tiny minority; their issues run parallel to what we’re dealing with especially in regards to the open racism being paraded around in Black Lives Matter like a badge of honor. I have run into more blatant racism and antisemitism in the last month than I have in the previous three years.

        7. More prominent divisions rising inside the Manosphere

On my earlier blog, someone accused me of being USA-centric because I posted up at a group that wasn’t American but another nationality. There have always been people in the MRM that wanted the MRM to be ‘ideologically pure’ in this case to be strictly conservative. Now I’m personally aware of what’s going on in Europe.You have a severe immigrant problem, and they’re not assimilating among other things. I’m not there though so for me to give any opinion on what’s happening there other than. “Yeah it’s bad, and it needs fixing.” could and would make me sound like a complete ignoramus. I write and guess what I know. ; this, by the way, is also why I don’t comment on Father’s Rights much. I’m very sympathetic; I’m also not a dad, and there’s an aspect of the problem that I can’t grasp because I haven’t had the experience. MGTOW, in particular, is growing at an exponential rate, this will mean more than a few different voices. Some of these voices are much healthier than others.

    8. Attacks on MGTOW happen with more frequency and ferocity

MGTOW

A quick check of my reader on WordPress shows that there are considerably more articles on MGTOW than there were even six months ago. I’ve had two different people that just found out about MGTOW come and ask me about it as well. This is the result of larger numbers of people, yes we have more converts (If that’s even the right word to be using). At the same time, MGTOW is also a larger target and one that’s a lot easier to take a ‘swing at’ because it’s not centralized and organized to the same extent that the MRM or even the Red Pill are, and the Red Pill group is also vast and individualistic. I’ve already gone into why people are more antagonistic towards MGTOW on another blog and video.

Not that these attacks are going to go anywhere to quote a friend taking on MGTOW is like trying to sword fight a fart.

    9. I’m not a Feminist or I’m not and/or antifeminist pronouncements rise quickly

blogtwimport140616-femininst

I’m going to be doing a video and blog about this very topic hopefully before the end of the month. To encapsulate the story though there was a woman that came out on YouTube who announced herself as not being Feminist and of course, got dog piled. This prompted me to do a search. When I started out, I had something between 35 and 40 videos. The running total is currently at 50 videos. Thirty-Four of these videos came out in 2016 another 13 were published the year before the lions share coming in the later half of 2015. Translation NINETY PERCENT of these went out in the last year. If you do an “I’m a feminist” search of YouTube, you’ll be lucky to find 5 declaring themselves to be Feminist and none of them recent. That translates out to a ten-fold increase in the last 18-24 months. Now project that out for this time next year…Can you say stampede?

Yes, you can, and it’s also entirely possible this could be a blip on the screen. Saying that it’s trending up and will continue to do so is a pretty safe guess.

    10. Yet ANOTHER months-long period of feminist and/or SJW stupidity

In 2015 we started seeing Feminists literally go on these stretches where for 2 and 3 months at a time. The highlight in 2015 was the epic failure of feminists to do anything about Roosh V when he visited Canada. In 2016 it culminated in the epic stupid doubling down on Jian Ghomeshi after one of his accusers was shown to be an outright liar. In 2015 they just stopped of their own accord, last year it was the election race that distracted everyone away from them after they were in near total free fall. This year there won’t be an election (At least not in North America anyway) to save feminism. The result will be yet another run of epic stupidity. This one though may be longer lasting and the damage done to Feminism by Feminists will likely never be recovered.

We may also be served with a double scoop of stupid because now the SJW’s will also likely engage in a period like this as well.

Don’t hold your breath this likely won’t happen until the later half of 2017.

    11. Very clear signs that Feminism is losing 

Up until now, it’s been something of an inside secret that Feminism and now the SJW’s have been losing. This changed to public because of the election of Donald Trump and the Brexit win. What you’re going to see is some of the smarter feminists start admitting they’re in trouble. Especially when it becomes clear that Trump isn’t going down quickly.

    12. Things start getting violent

argentine_cathedral_585_401_55

Again I can see this happening later on in the year when it becomes apparent that. Donald Trump isn’t going anywhere. And that the attempts by the establishment to censor discussion didn’t have the desired effect. At this point, they’ve nearly run out of cards to play other than yelling louder and lying more blatantly. Doing more of the same that isn’t working only hastens your downfall. Ever dealt with an animal that’s cornered or injured? If you have then, you know what’s about to happen. It won’t be a stage 4 event, but it will certainly load and cock the trigger.

    13. Outrageous and Blatant Lies

If you thought some of the articles done this year were bad (I’m looking at you MTV News) just wait. In 2016 there were only a handful of videos that got pulled because they were so bad. I can see it happening with much greater frequency as the year progresses  Don’t check my facts will almost start being a mantra.

14. Members of the various SJW factions start getting in trouble

I’ve been astounded that some people in this camp haven’t seen themselves in legal hot water yet. That may change this year Anita has already been caught politizing with her non-profit. We’ll start hearing about legal and/or criminal action being started against at least one of these people.

    15. Bill Cosby Trial! 

Bill Cosby Heads To Court For Preliminary Hearing

How could I overlook this gem?

Due to happen in June? This will be the rape trial of the year to watch, and I’m guessing that Feminists are going to go all out here. Mostly for the reasons mentioned previously. There’s more than enough reasonable doubt here. I even remember one lawyer demanding 100 million dollars, or they would press charges! Now much like Jian Ghomeshi he may well be guilty, but events around the case also look like yet another conspiracy. One that’ll start falling apart once the actual trial starts. Expect LOTS of coverage on this, most of it attempting to declare him guilty before the fact.

A Guilty verdict here will start an extended period of feminist gloating, after all by the time the trial is over they’ll be in serious need of any kind of win. Feminism hasn’t had any major wins since VAWA was passed in 2014. However, if he’s found Not Guilty! Well, then everything I mentioned about things getting violent becomes much more real!

I don’t know why I left this till now, but this trial could be a lynchpin the same way the election was in 2016.

    16. Virtue Signal Failure

Unlike Bill Cosby, I overlooked this one because it’s such a safe guess that almost anyone can make it. (I predict a quake somewhere in the Pacific Rim!) The Amy Schumer Barbie movie has all the makings of one serious stinker. There may well be others.

    17. Call on Donald Trump to be impeached or resign by the end of summer

Started with politics going to end with politics. This is likely another very safe call for me. Why do you ask? Well, you see I live in Alberta, and we had this election here in 2015! The New Democrat Party won, a stunning turn for a province that had been Conservative since almost before I was born.

Rachel Notley barely even had time to warm up a seat in the Alberta Legislature here when people were demanding a recall or that she resign. Now this is an example of the blind attacking coming from the right. I can quite easily see it coming from the ‘regressives’ in the US within a couple of months of Trump sitting in the Oval Office.

  18. A Hard Right or Nationalist party wins a country (Or two) in Europe this year. 

Given the complete and total inability of the left in Europe to acknowledge that there’s even a problem with the current immigration situation. When it comes to election time this year for certain countries, you’re going to see right leaning or even far right leaning parties gain greater prominence some of them may even win, especially in France.

Well, that’s it for me this year much like how I see the year starting slowly and then heating up as we get closer to the end of the year. Same thing happened to the blog, started slow, but once my thought processes started going, I got on a run. Very quiet almost mute start to 2017 as we all hold our breath for the great unknown (sort of) that is Donald Trump. Once it’s clear where things are going though it’ll heat up quickly. Especially if Bill Cosby is found not guilty.

Let’s see how well my guesses hold up for 2017