This is it!
My Last official act of 2017. This is the one where I look back at this article
And we look at how well or how badly I did. I’ll admit I did review this article a couple of weeks back and it didn’t look like I’d done all that badly. Unlike last year when Donald Trump threw a wrench into the guessing this year no such thing occurred. But I know for a fact I got some of the guesses wrong and I think I bombed out on a couple of them. Like I said I’m doing this again and writing down the results as they appear. So while I think I did well I could’ve stunk up the joint.
Let’s the massacre of my supposed high intelligence begin!
- People hold their breath for President Donald Trump
Yeah, there’s one that didn’t happen! Antifa Riots, Million woman march and open declaration of war by Feminists and Regressives.
Yep, the regressives didn’t even wait for Donald Trump to make a mistake they just went ahead and started attacking blindly. In fact, it was speculated that if this was what it was going to be like for the next four years well…god help us all.
People did calm down, Antifa lost its teeth but the attacks on Trump continue.
But for this guess BOY did I ever get this one wrong!
2 The Establishment may attempt to distract us from the ever-widening internal culture war with an outside distraction.
There was some talk about North Korea, there were the usual (ever increasing) terrorist attacks in Europe and a bombing in Syria. The Administration didn’t attempt to ramp up any wars and neither did the Regressives attempt to throw any crumbles and bobbles our way for us to look at. They went and stayed on the offensive to the best of their ability. At least until their credibility also started to take serious hits.
In hindsight the mainstream media and the establishment wanted us to pay attention to them this year. They got what they wanted and now they’re in free fall just like the rest of the regressives are.
But for the sake of this blog, wrong again. Mostly because 1 and 2 are tied together to make it so.
3. Transparent attempts to crack down or censor the internet mainly alternative news sites.
YES! Got one right and boy did I ever hammer this one out the ballpark.
What stands out for me most though is the intentional lying about Pewdiepie
Got this one right (Finally)
4. Gamergate (or a form of it) is not dead back for round #2
Or you can just go to The Quartering to see what’s happening with Wizards of the Coast at the moment.
Either way, I nailed this one!
5. A Watering down of the Manosphere in general
This one is kind of hard to prove. MGTOW.com became the second largest site in the manosphere and A Voice for Men returned to its old prominence. More MGTOW, MRA, Red Pill, PUA etc sites got started up. An increase in size and attention will mean a larger variety of opinion thus a watering down. Nothing unexpected here so I’ll give myself a yes here.
6. A rise in the extreme right inside the movement
I saw more Anti-Semitism this year than I had in the five years before. I had one of these guys start to follow me around the manosphere to keep justifying his beliefs to me. I personally had to declare that any jew bashing (Anti-Semitism) on my Facebook group would get you booted. You know it’s getting out of control when guys like Turd Flinging Monkey have to start making videos specifically addressing this issue.
The comments section got so bad here that YouTube had to shut down both comments and ratings. Like I said in my guesses for 2018 blog, this is the ugly stepchild of the manosphere and it needs to be dealt with SOON!
Got this one right though.
7. More prominent divisions rising inside the Manosphere
The rise of the Alt-Right is proof enough for that. We also had people on our side attacking each other. There was a row between Candace Owens and Computing Forever
There was also another one that appears to have removed Kraut and Tea from the YouTube community for now too.
Just to make it clear on both of these people. Candace Owens took down Social Autopsy for me that’s sufficient. Dave Cullen had a higher standard and it’s his channel so he has the right to say that there. Kraut and Tea on the other hand? I wasn’t involved never really followed it. I liked most of what Kraut and Tea did and I hope he comes back. Don’t know enough about what happened to make a call on it.
I can say I got this one right 5 for 7 now, not bad considering how badly I tanked at the start!
8. Attacks on MGTOW happen with more frequency and ferocity
Well first we had this
Both of these stupid idiots started their channels in 2017. But for more example, we had this and a few others post up as well
This particular video got torn to shreds in the comments not to mention Turd Flinging Monkey did an epic takedown of this video.
Now this guy was really disappointing because he usually has an idea what he’s talking about
The real disappointment here was how he pinned this to the top of this video.
Yeah I pretty much say I got this one right
9. I’m not a Feminist or I’m not and/or antifeminist pronouncements rise quickly
This actually tapered off in 2017. Never mind that it’s picked up in a large way at the start of 2018. In 2017 this didn’t happen, likely because Feminists were more active and got more than a little help from the mainstream media
Got this one wrong
10. Yet ANOTHER months-long period of feminist and/or SJW stupidity
There were moments where it looked like there was going to be something like this. The Mainstream Media though did engage in epic levels of stupidity and did have periods where they did the same thing that other branches of the regressive community did.
Does the mainstream media count as SJW? I’m going to give myself a tentative yes on this. Again though as the start of 2018 has indicated the regressives seem hell bound to lose all the ground they gained in 2017.
1/2 point on this one
11. Very clear signs that Feminism is losing
Had the year ended before Harvey Weinstein got taken down it was really starting to look like this was going to happen.
Once this happened Feminists moved in a took Hollywood without much of fight, even going so far as to set up a potential McCarthy like commission to investigate sexual abuse in Hollywood
Now once again it appears as though Feminists have managed to shoot themselves in the foot as 2018 started. This MAY prevent the sexual misconduct commission from becoming too authoritarian too quickly. Or they may attempt to speed this up because of events that started, time will tell.
Now since this is about 2017 and not 2018 I’m going to have to go wrong about this one.
12. Things start getting violent
I’m just going to post up a few things about Antifa and let them speak for themselves
Battle of Berkeley
Yeah I know, sorry just had to post this.
Granted Antifa had lost most of their Mojo by mid-year. The violence didn’t extend through the entire year of 2017. Something for which I think we can all be grateful for. 2018 feels like a different beast, more like a kettle bomb going off from pressure at some point.
So yes I did get this one right, glad it slowed down towards mid-year though.
13. Outrageous and Blatant Lies
From the mainstream media? Oh hell yes absolutely!
I mean there are so many examples of it that I couldn’t possibly post all the content so here’s a link to it instead
14. Members of the various SJW factions start getting in trouble
Didn’t happen there were moments where it happened but you didn’t see the long hemorrhaging that had occurred inside regressive circles brought on by their own stupidity in 2017. UNLESS you cover mainstream news that’s another story altogether. For the sake of argument, I’m just going to put the mainstream media in the regressive camp here. They took the shots that the other factions couldn’t and probably wouldn’t have been able to take in 2017. As a result, they now are starting to find themselves in the same boat as them. If 2018 is any indication of 2017 for them it’s going to be a LONG year.
And oh yes got this one right
15. Bill Cosby Trial!
Harvey Weinstein ended up being the goat that Bill Cosby was supposed to be. The Cosby trial was a virtual non-event. Luckily (If you’re a feminist) Harvey fell into the void quite nicely. He provided the impetus and push that Feminism had at the end of 2017 to pretty much take Hollywood and to destroy more than a few careers in the process. The price paid for doing this was totally unexpected though. It wasn’t anyone on the Deplorable side of the fence that got taken down. Instead, Feminists fed on their own that strategy of cannibalizing their own allies though appears to caught up to them already.
So yeah it sort of happened just not with the person I thought it was going to trigger it with. So I sort of got this one right in the actions but not the person.
16. Virtue Signal Failure
Not as much as in 2016! But then again it would be very hard to ever duplicate 2016. Although based on what I’ve seen so far in 2018 it might be quite easily exceeded.
This one was going to be a pretty safe yes.
17. Call on Donald Trump to be impeached or resign by the end of summer
Full History here
Yep got this one right. In fact, there was another attempt made just a few days ago.
18. A Hard Right or Nationalist party wins a country (Or two) in Europe this year.
Czech Election Won by Anti-Establishment Party Led by Billionaire
Well now, Thank You, Andrej Babis for getting the win for me!
So how did I do? 13 1/2 out of 18 75% well now not bad for a bunch of guesses. I want to discuss more though on how I went wrong and how no matter how accurate any kind of model is, even one where I’m just picking what I think and feel are the most likely reactions based on previous experience. Events can sometimes take strange twists. Or like what happened when Donald Trump put a wrench into a lot of my guesses in 2016 the actions of one individual can and do count.
What did I get wrong and why did I get them wrong in my not so humble opinion
Number 1 I got wrong because I assumed incorrectly that there would be the usual honeymoon period for Donald Trump nothing of the sort happened. In fact with a little hindsight it appears as though a lot of what occurred might have been artificially inflated
Number 2 I got wrong because I assumed once all the insanity got started it would escalate quickly. It didn’t in fact it came in two sections one at the start of the year from Antifa and the back end being provided by Feminism. North Korea had some moments for Donald Trump and the Administration but they didn’t use this to distract from the homeland
Number 9 I got wrong there were a couple of factors. One being the move by social media sites to crack down on political wrong think. Another one was the apparent resurgence of feminism at the end of 2017. There’s also a case of a upswing will eventually top off. That doesn’t mean that they won’t start jumping on the wagon again in fact I’ve seen evidence of this starting in 2018
Number 10 I got wrong because while it did happen I didn’t expect that it would be the mainstream media and not the groups I expected.
Number 11 Never in my imagination did I ever expect that Feminists would devour their own allies for such a fleeting and temporary victory. Like I said before they captured Hollywood but have likely sped up their own demise
So I did OK, good thing nobody followed my guesses though I mean 75% is pretty good and worth a victory lap or two. I think it shows that my guesses can and should be taken with a grain of salt.