2018 the year of Fire!
I did a YouTube hangout at the start of the year where myself and two other people went took a look at 2017. Then took a look ahead to 2018 and Davis Aurini pretty much nailed it right on the head when he described 2018 as the year of the Paper Tiger (Dragon).
While it’s always difficult to guess the where and when of some particular event, The reason why this is called the GUESSES of and not the PREDICTIONS of is because there’s usually a wild card that comes out of nowhere and does to one degree or another upset the apple cart, pushing events faster or slower than I might expect. In 2016 that was Donald Trump, 2017 it was #metoo and this year it was the Brett Kavanaugh Hearings.
The Kavanaugh hearing cannot and shouldn’t be underestimated for its historical impact there were a few critical things that changed with his nomination. One is that the Republican and nominally it means that whatever the regressives attempt to do in the future can now be challenged legally through the Supreme Court. The second thing it did and this cannot be understated Feminism as a movement took its first serious hit in over a century
Stop and think about that Feminism DIDN’T gets its way in 2018. In fact, while 2018 wasn’t as bad a year for Feminism and Regressives in general as 2016 was. There were some serious shots absorbed by Feminism as a whole that likely cannot and will not ever be recovered.
There were, of course, other things that happened in 2018. Europe is on the verge of having what looks like it’s version of an Arab Spring with one head of state already having been forced to resign. There was also the heads of various tech companies getting hauled into Washington to testify. Plus a couple of other regressives that also got hauled into Washington DC to testify. The results were mixed and the long-term results were more heavy-handed censorship.
Lastly, let’s not forget the immigrant accord and all of the issues surrounding that. Tommy Robinson being jailed, then released. It was a hot year. While I won’t get too much into 2019 I will say this 2019 looks like it’s going to be hot right out the gate this year.
But now though without any further talking from me let’s get into my guesses and how well I actually did. These were the guesses I stuck my neck out (sort of) to make. Let’s get started
1. 2018 The Culture War Gets Hot
How did I do on this one? The Culture did indeed start out a little cold as things progressed through the year. Things did get very hot just a couple of weeks before the Mid-Terms cooled off for the most part in North America only to have them get much hotter in Europe
Giving myself a Ding for this one not bad so far
2. Silent Winter
Yeah, that’s how I would define it. Regressives were a little tired and somewhat buoyant after what happened at the end of 2017. To a certain degree, they just thought or just expected that these events would give them momentum into 2018. This momentum was clearly gone before spring arrived and when they did react they did so too much and too soon.
Another Ding for me 2 for 2 so far
3. Hey, you Bastards I’m still here!
My guessing was that at some point in 2018 they’d start noticing that we deplorables were not only still around but had actually become stronger and they’d start in earnest coming after us. They did eventually do this but only after the Mid Terms and only after they’d lost all the momentum from 2017
Here’s my first mistake. I assumed that we deplorables would be the next ones up. I wasn’t expecting the total collapse of male feminists and Brett Kavanaugh coming along to sidetrack that. So, in this case, I’ll give myself a tentative bonk because I was right, just not right when
4. #Metoo Starts to slow down and backfire
DING, DING, DING, DING!!
This, in fact, began to slow down even before the end of 2017. (Thanks Emily Linden). But in the spring of 2018, the number of Male Feminists taken down was staggering. Then there was the fact that 3 out 4 of the women that tried to capitalize on #metoo got hit with harassment charges themselves or melted down. Let’s not even get into the massive pile of false accusations that were exposed. They did manage to throw Bill Cosby in jail but otherwise #metoo had lost almost all it’s credibility by summer and then got crushed in the Kavanaugh confirmation. Especially when it came out that 2 of 3 of his main accusers were exposed as liars
Yeah DING indeed
5. The Mainstream Media takes a serious run at the Alternate Media
This one started with Alex Jones. Who I guess was OK because he’s Alex Jones. It moved quickly into The deplatforming of several prominent people. Stripe and Paypal openly cutting off funding to the rivals of the Neo-Liberal Silicon Valley crowd. Including the temporary takedown and outright violation of rules to shut down Gab very temporarily. Then of all things, Patreon that had been staying above the fray got involved. When people began moving over to SubscribeStar that platform got it’s payment processing cut, even though they did nothing wrong
Yeah DING is dead on here
6. Alternative media starts to surge
And despite valiant or villainous efforts to shut them down not only did they get larger. But now some of the larger platforms on the net are almost as large and get as many views as some of the smaller TV channels. Times are a changing,
DING on this one!
7. All the Groups in the “Manosphere” Get Larger
All of them did indeed get larger except for Incel which in all honesty was only nominally connected to the Manosphere. It wasn’t just the Manosphere, Leaving the Left was briefly the largest of the counter movements out there and is likely still kicking. Blexit started out with promise but appears to stall at the moment. Had Leaving the Left stayed where it was on Facebook it would’ve come out as the clear winner on the deplorable side for growth.
That honor though had to go to MGTOW which saw it’s membership on all the Social Media platforms double. In fact, the MGTOW subreddit is set to pass 100,000 by the spring of 2019 at current growth rates. Why the serious growth of MGTOW? Just go up and look at what happened to #metoo that explains a large part of it.
DING on this one!
8. MGTOW faces serious attacks
A rare BONK on this guess! There were extenuating circumstances for this. Male Feminists just got destroyed in 2018, shortly after that there was Brett Kavanaugh, then the Mid Terms and along came the Yellow Vests and the immigrant pact that also took attention away from MGTOW. MGTOW did start getting some attention via a CNN piece late in 2018 but the attention of the media and the regressives were focused elsewhere. Not even the actions of Alec Minassian strayed over the MGTOW that much. Although there were some attempts to tie Incel and MGTOW together. This also never really got any steam. I suspect that MGTOW will get the full spotlight at some point in 2019
9. Gearing up for Mid-Terms
Cautious DING on this! The Regressives hit their peak too soon and focused on the wrong thing. It became very clear early on the Blue Wave was going to be like a Blue Puddle. The Regressives did take the house (Barely) but lost seats in both The Senate and in Terms of Governers (I think) The regressives TRIED to play this off as a win for them but considering how much support they got from The Media, Hollywood and Silicon Valley the results were disappointing for them.
Like I said cautious DING here Mid-Terms ended up being a non-event for the most part
10. Culture War Gets Hotter
For a brief period, it did look that way. Then Kavanaugh, The Mid Terms and now Yellow Vests and The Immigration Pact have pushed the Culture War into the Political War instead. That’s not to say it won’t heat up again. Much like how MGTOW benefitted from events in 2018. Hollywood also benefitted from these events as well
BONK on this one
11. Hollywood starts to feel the heat
BONK look at the above, some people and some films did tank this year. I haven’t looked at the figures for 2018 yet. I will be after I write this through. Hollywood appears to have for 2018 escaped the worst of this. It should be duly noted though that one of the biggest box office hits this year Black Panther. The marketing department there resorted to blatant race-baiting for a movie that was strong enough and good enough to hold it’s own without it. This doesn’t bode well for any sequel that comes out
12. At least one of the Hollywood Studios gets in financial trouble
Lucasfilm did indeed find itself in trouble. Solo, a Star Wars franchise movie lost money. Kathleen Kenndy and Rhian Johnson both felt and the heat and in the case of Johnson, he insulted his audience. In the end, Kennedy kept her job (barely) but Star Wars was scaled back. Oceans 8 also resorted to insulting its audience and while it didn’t do as badly as Solo mostly because the production budget was low for the show the move also likely made the difference between being in the red and being in the black. Unlike Solo which was just a victim to the incompetence of the execs at Lucasfilm.
But political and legal trouble isn’t financial trouble at least not the type that could potentially doom a studio. So BONK on this one
13. Comicgate will heat up and the SJW’s will wilt under the heat
Jawbreakers! That’s all that has to be said about this area. Comics creators that don’t want to to take the knee are no longer beholden to the big comic studios to get something out. You can simply market it yourself. Mark Waid in particular just couldn’t keep his mouth shut and actively attempted to inhibit sales and progress of Jawbreakers last year. Ending up with him now facing court time.
DING on this one
14. Title IX legislation and the meltdown on campuses
While there were a couple of notable people that were angry that DeVos got the Secretary of Education. Her tenure has been marked with her making an active attempt to reform Title IX an area that not only needed to be reformed but had it been allowed to stand unchanged it could’ve and probably would’ve brought down the entire post-secondary education institution in the US. This would’ve almost certainly boiled over into the west in general. Good on her and I wish her good luck in 2019
And yes DING for me!
15. Stage Four event happens
BONK! Didn’t happen. Events either happened too fast or didn’t occur at the right time or place. That isn’t to say that it didn’t get closer to happening. In fact, this year’s events have virtually guaranteed that it will. Especially when it becomes clear to the regressives how bad their situation really is in 2019
16. BLM and reverse racism slowly fade but Anti-Semitism raises its large ugly head
DING not only did BLM continue to fade in relevance. Something brought on by the fact that Barrack Obama is not clandestinely supporting them anymore. But a rival to BLM arrived on the scene. Yes, they did get off on the wrong foot but Blexit is likely here to stay.
As for Anti Semitism, you need only to look at the Pittsburgh Synagogue Shooter in October to see the writing on the wall for this one. I routinely have to deal with and call out Anti Semites when I post up now. There were two separate times when I had to face down far right mobs. And there was also a right-wing attack on Carl Benjamin (Sargon of Akkad) earlier this month.
On a personal note here. I’m going to suggest that we will likely have to put the kibosh on this group hovering on the edges of our groups. There was a Ying/Yang effect and the reason to a great extent why the left is so insane at the moment is in large part to a lazy response to this far-right, anti-semitic, white nationalist crowd. Lest we also forget how this crowd was also using intimidation tactics on the Conservatives (Vee being one of them) that challenged them on Andy Warskis show. This is the ugly underbelly of our movement and dealing with them effectively NOW. Will save us a whole lot of headache and aggravation later.
So How Did I Do?
The raw score is 11 of 16! Slightly worse than I did last year but not by much. Where I got it wrong though was more in a case of me not expecting that the Regressives were literally going to direct all their energy into an unwinnable situation around the Supreme Court and thus allowing both Hollywood and MGTOW to a certain extent fall under the radar. This same thing also meant that while things did get hot, they didn’t get hot where I thought they would and when they did. Right now there’s a feeling like everyone is just a little exhausted and needs to sit out the rest of 2018 and recharge. For the people on our side, it was a good almost great year. In some ways, it went even better than 2016 mostly because the regressives this year simply couldn’t help themselves when they self-destructed. The one card that they did have this year was played to the point where it’s already starting to lose its effectiveness. Having Stripe and PayPal cut funding and shutting down sites is at absolute best a delaying tactic. They’re almost out of cards to play at this point. Alternatives will be provided people will move over. Websites will keep growing.
For the Regressives though this year with one, a couple of exceptions was terrible. Yes, they did take Alex Jones down a couple of notches but he’s still active and will likely start growing again. Bill Cosby got declared guilty but by the time it happened his trial was a moot point. Cutting off funding and site support worked but only in a limited kind of way. There were defeats for them everywhere this year Feminism, in particular, this year finally took a shot that going to eventually reduce them down to the fraction of their size sooner or later. There wasn’t a single area this year where the Regressives made gains. Even with the now overt help of Silicon Valley. It’s very likely that the leaders here realize this too.
2018 went well for us! Do keep in mind we need a few more years like 2018 and 2016 to deliver crippling damage to the regressive left. Where are we going in 2019? I’ll be going another blog on that on really soon. It was indeed the Year of Fire