One guy guessing out loud (A review)

On March 20 I put this out.

https://theredpillnation.wordpress.com/2015/03/20/just-one-guy-guessing-out-loud-here/

It was a completely speculative piece where I made some educated guesses as to what would happen in 2015. Now I put myself under the lens and see how well I did. I made 21 guesses, some of them were pretty good some of them were wrong. Others were sorta right or took a turn that I didn’t anticipate. But let’s take a look at them and how well I performed

1.Metalgate will go nowhere! 

Planted this one! This really isn’t a surprise SJW’s had been doing well mostly because people couldn’t see them coming. By the time they got to Metalheads that discretionary cover had been blown away. Metalheads were manning the watchtowers and what few moves were made failed miserably. Given what happened with the three conventions last spring (Calgary Expo, RavenCon and DenverCon), their legitimacy and power are simply not there anymore.

2.Anita Sarkeesian steps out of the tower and…

 

2a. The next move by anti-GamerGate will also fail

The Nightline piece was the beginning of the end for her and Jonathan MacIntosh! They were unable to control the dialogue even with people actively trying to censor opposing opinions; mine included

Despite this though the Nightline story simply got crushed under the weight of numbers.

https://theredpillnation.wordpress.com/2015/02/20/anita-sarkessian-makes-her-big-mistake/

Not only was her first major mistake it was the only time she would go public until her appearance at the UN. Which by the time it happened was the equivalent of a hail mary pass that didn’t get caught.

Going to give me a thumbs up on this one, having both of these guesses tie together so nicely like they did was a stroke of luck on my part.

3.An Increase in the number, but not the quality, of hit pieces directed at the MRM

After the absolute fiasco that started off the year. Feminists and SJW’s laid low for the spring and first part of the summer. But when they came back they came back and screwed up HUGE. Not only did they screw up huge but they came dangerously close to turning RooshV into a martyr.

https://theredpillnation.wordpress.com/2015/08/22/the-little-things-that-make-the-difference/

There was a steady and slow meltdown from that point. VICE, Buzzfeed and Huffington Post lead the way as out and out hit pieces on MGTOW were published. Huffington Post and a few other places did everything in their power to try and prove a Facebook group called No Hymen no Diamond was an MRA site. All the way to the point where on December 21 VICE and GQ Britain dropped all pretense of fairness and just published blatant hate pieces.

I think I can say I guessed right about this one

4. The rise of the Anti-MRA Feminist

I didn’t see this as much as I thought I would but it was there. There are signs that Feminists are starting to organize. The articles by GQ Britain and VICE, for instance, may have been coincidental. If they are then, I’d say that was one hell of a coincidence.

5. The parallel rise of the bargaining feminist.

Earlier in the year, Natasha Devon and The Femthiest! of all people came out with moderate articles. Natasha Devon would lose her credibility with an article later in the year, and The Femtheist appears to have gone very quiet on the whole issue.

https://theredpillnation.wordpress.com/2015/03/09/a-response-to-natasha-devon/

https://theredpillnation.wordpress.com/2015/03/03/two-new-things-femitheist-divine-and-gq-magazine/

However, late in 2015 Skeptic Feminist would appear. I will admit from what I’ve seen so far they appear to have more critical thinking skills in five minutes than Steve Shives uses in five months. They appear to be the start of the bargainers, feminists that would rather discuss solutions than fight.

The jury is still out on this bunch with me.  They are doing better than He for She did though

Going to say that I guessed right on this one

6. Feminism starts calling on allies

Didn’t see as much of this as I thought I might! Mostly because the backlash after the August debacles was much stronger, more intense and sooner than expected.

Missed on this one not as much as I thought but it’s still a miss

7. The official arrival of MGTOW as an independent movement.

DING! I can pretty much say I nailed this one on the head. At one point this year several MGTOW even went as far as dogpiling Paul Elam. Sandman at one point also either had one of his comments taken out of context or said something on purpose. MGTOW showed that it was just as capable of breaking down into various factions. On the other hand, it also became a stand alone and not tied in with MRA. The axiom I think that fits are not all MGTOW are MRA, and not all MRA are MGTOW. Try telling that to the idiots at VICE, though. My online fight there with one individual was so prolonged that I had other people openly calling on me to walk away. Which I was considering. Luckily for me the guy I was dealing with quit before I did.

Bottom line here that VICE article and the fact that Wikipedia recognized MGTOW as separate from the MRM are clear signs that it’s arrived. MGTOW also got to put the exclamation point, on the whole, gender issue this year.

8. The Politicizing of the larger men’s movement.

Not as much as I thought. There were the usual suspects that were calling for conservative men’s movement. And there was some pointless grandstanding on the gay marriage issue. But overall this didn’t happen as much as I thought it might. Which is good because if there’s an issue that could grind the greater men’s movement to a crawl at this point, it would be to get caught up in the whole Liberal/Conservative spin wheel.

9. A growing change in trends

Haven’t seen the stats although articles I’ve read (But cannot find at this moment) suggest that on issues like child custody, alimony, domestic abuse, etc. Things are starting to balance out. One very specific example that happened this year was when Halle Berry for the Nth time tried to play the abuse card on her husband and instead of just taking it they hit back

http://moviepilot.com/posts/3627415

Not surprisingly Halle went very quiet after this happened

10. More false allegations will be exposed

This is a miss! Yes, there was Emma Sulkowicz and her mattress girl drama. But beyond that, there wasn’t a smoking gun false allegation this year. However, this ties into the next issue.

10a. Title IX Lawsuits the cows come home

Paul Nungaser did launch a lawsuit against Columbia for good reason. There was no back-breaking event on campus when it came to men’s issues. There was such an event with Black Lives Matter movement at several universities. How much of a spillover effect it has on the gender issue remains to be seen.

11. Increasing numbers of public people coming out as not feminist

Meryl Streep was front and center in this. Ironically she was also the star of the movie Suffragette. I wouldn’t call this guess an out and out slam out of the ballpark. More like a single or double.

12. Some public person will get attacked by Feminists and still stand

Five days ago I would’ve started yelling “Bill fucking Cosby!” but he got arrested and charged before the year was over. James Deen also got accusations thrown his way. This, of course, resulted in several other women in the industry dog-piling him. Which if you’re familiar with how accusations like this work isn’t at all surprising.

Now, I’m going to reserve judgement on both of these men. But I will point out though that in regards to James Deen and his accuser. To my knowledge, you don’t usually allow your rapist to go and do a scene on your website FIVE WEEKS after the alleged event took place.

While there wasn’t a person that survived the assault Protein World took a massive barrage as well and it did survive the assault despite the bomb threat sent to it

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/04/29/bomb-threat-over-bikini-billboard-ad.html

Protein world didn’t cave though instead they put up a massive sign in New York. Now if that’s not a massive fuck you to feminists I don’t know what would be. A person didn’t survive but a company did.

beach-bod

13. For the first time, a Feminist Figure will get into serious trouble

Didn’t happen so I missed on this one. That’s not to say that Feminists didn’t engage in rampant levels of stupidity this year.

https://wordpress.com/read/post/feed/26600997/894495866

This list doesn’t include the battle of Montreal, Expogate or Jessica Valenti’s failed attempt at keeping a video of her bombing out at a debate from going public.

https://theredpillnation.wordpress.com/2015/04/27/meltdown/

http://www.returnofkings.com/69013/how-roosh-v-won-the-battle-of-montreal

No one feminist went down in flames Feminism itself did a great job of shooting itself in the foot this year. One thing I haven’t seen this year and it does stand out for me. We don’t have anyone trying to say that 2015 was a great year for feminism

14. Houston, we have a problem!

Yep, we have a problem alright! ICMI didn’t happen this year. In 2014 ICMI was the biggest single win for the men’s movement. ICMI in 2014 endured everything that Roosh V had to deal with in Montreal in 2015 plus more and still went ahead. They’re not having an event in 2015 was understandable. Cancelling the event in Houston though, means that the event this year in London must be held.

http://www.avoiceformen.com/mens-rights/international-conference-on-mens-issues-london-8-10-july-2016/

 

15. An organized Anti MRM men’s movement

We can start with that other men’s convention in New Jersey earlier this year. That was a start as 2015 progressed I began to see more feminists and white knights coming on to men’s sites and flaming. I also saw what looked like a group of feminists putting together a site on Facebook then trying to pass it off as an MRA site. There was also the very coincidental timing of two blatant hate pieces put out by Vice and GQ on December 21. The timing of these two pieces might be coincidental, but if it is?  It’s one hell of a coincidence.

Another factor that both these idiots did though they played their hand a little too early. We have the entire holidays to spread the warning around about this.

16. Fewer but more dangerous White Knights

I had one engagement with a White Knight on one comment section where I had to tell the guy NINETY THREE TIMES! That Elliot Rodger wasn’t in any way connected to men’s rights or MGTOW. There was another guy on the recent GQ article that simply kept lying and posting up cherry picked studies and was told me SEVEN times that getting the last word in doesn’t mean you win by default! Did he listen? Nope, what he did do though was change his name so his failures and contradictions were harder to find. So the more dangerous is clearly true at least in my experience.

As for there being fewer of them? Had the year ended in September I would’ve absolutely said yes! After August though and the reality of the situation began to sink in with Feminists. White Knights the started crawling out of the woodwork again.

So now we have more White Knights and more dangerous ones as well.

Tentatively this guess was right, I didn’t anticipate that the backlash would come as fast as it did. I certainly didn’t see the cheap shots coming just before Christmas.

17. Active talk about Female conscription

Yes, there was plenty of talk about this.

18. A spreading out and division inside Feminist Ranks

Up until 2013 Feminists had to deal with a couple of annoying little gadflies in the form of the MRM and Sad Puppies.

Now though, you can add Gamergate, MGTOW and Rabid Puppies to the mix. If you also factor in plummeting support and a growing awareness of Feminism and Social Justice are in their current forms. You have a recipe for someone doing something desperately stupid

19. Feminism in trouble

Not as much as you might think. One thing that is gone from the Feminist movement is the arrogant swagger that they were showing at the end of 2014. The meltdown started in the spring, cooled off and then once August came around heated up big time. I don’t think that it’s a coincidence that after August the tactics of Feminists and SJW’s became more aggressive, blatant and desperate.

So I sort of got this one right. But not as much as I thought.

Not bad got a dozen or so right and few others were partially right. I also got three or four wrong plus another half dozen where I was sort of wrong and sort of right.

The Greater Men’s Movement isn’t above having issues of its own to deal with as well. AVfM, for instance, has seen support for its site plummet since September to the point where it gets fewer hits than We Hunted the Mammoth.

Great year for the Men all around. That being said though other than Roosh V and his win at Montreal there were very few out and out wins. Long term relying on Feminists and SJW’s to self-destruct isn’t going to work.

 

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2 thoughts on “One guy guessing out loud (A review)

  1. I don’t read AVfM anymore since they banned me. I’m probably not the only one. AVfM decided on an explicit policy of “you get banned if you criticise us” and the predictable thing happened: people sought other fora.

    Not a bad run of predictions. The real curveball in gender relations in 2015 has been the mass immigration of foreigners into Sweden and other European nations, and the totally surprising and not-at-all-expected-by-anyone surge in rapes. It’s a tangled mess of issues, of course. It will be interesting to see what comes of it.

    Like

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